Friday, January 30, 2009

Super Sunday

I'm already on record as saying that I don't think this if going to be a good game.

I can't help but feeling that we may be looking at a blow-out with the Steelers stomping all over the Cardinals.

Overall, the Cardinals haven't been good away from home. With the exception of the playoffs, they haven't played well against quality teams and they gave up an average of 27.25 points per game against AFC opponents. This game has the makings of being ugly.

I hope I'm wrong.

I hope this game comes down to the last couple of possessions.

Arizona has a lot going for them, but I can't convince myself that it's enough - they have the better quarterback. They have the underdog card. They have coaches that know the Steelers offensive personnel inside and out. They have three wide receivers that racked up over 1000 yards each this season going against a secondary that has had issues against good passing teams.

But they don't have the defense that Pittsburgh has. Nor the running game. And those things are integral to success in January.

I could be wrong. I hope that I am.

But this just doesn't have the feel of a good match-up.

The latest rumor is that the Pats now won't franchise Matt Cassel. While franchising and trading Cassel makes a certain amount of sense - I'm not sure it makes as much sense as letting him become a free-agent. In theory it is better to get something for Cassel rather than letting him walk, but what is Cassel really worth on the free-agent market?

Would the Pats only tender Cassel if there was an understanding that he wouldn't sign the tender?

I have my doubts that any team would sign a deal with Cassel for $14.6 million, making
a trade difficult, unless the Pats only retained Cassel's rights. My guess, if Cassel hits free-agency, he's looking at between $9 million and $11 million per year.

All of this of course begs the question of where Tom Brady is in his rehab. Rumors are that Brady is running, and doing drop back drills, putting his rehab on pace to be ready to start the season. If the Pats are satisfied that Brady is going to be Brady come September, I think they let Cassel walk.

I have a hunch that if the Pats do franchise Cassel, it means that Brady isn't where the Patriots think he needs to be.

5 comments:

Chris Stone said...

i think they'd only franchise cassel for a trade. some team will snap him up... the question is, like you say, how much is he worth. if the rumor is he isn't going to be franchised, the pats probably weren't finding the interest out there (at a franchise price.) it would be so nice if they could get a couple of picks for cassel!

no score prediction?

Kevin Smith said...

Hazarding a guess - I'd say it's likely to be a 36 - 14 game with the Cardinals scoring their second TD with just minutes left in the fourth quarter.

I'm hoping for something more along the lines of 24-21. Like I said before, I just want to see a good game.

Lisa K. said...

You were wrong: it was a good game.

Kevin Smith said...

Got what I was hoping for rather than what I expected. Made me happy.

Dave said...

That was the best Super Bowl since Rams-Pats. And the fourth quarter was one for the ages.